Fuel Markets · Policy · Outlook · Electricity Futures (auto-updated)
Updated daily at JST 06:00 · LNG / Coal / Oil / FX
2.68USD/MMBtu
▲ 1.1%
104.75USD/t
▲ 0%
101.74USD/bbl
▲ 6.9%
159.76
▲ 0.3%
LNG & Brent (USD)
Coal (USD/t) & USD/JPY
AI scans METI / JEPX announcements every Monday at JST 07:00
AI-generated every Monday at JST 08:00 · Bull/Bear factors · Risk events · Price range
Predicted Price Range
Bullish Factors
Bearish Factors
Risk Events This Week
Market Commentary
本週日本電力現貨市場（JEPX）預計將在多重因素交織下波動。隨著春季深入，太陽能發電量預期將持續攀升，特別是在白天時段，這將對現貨價格構成顯著的下行壓力，加劇「鴨子曲線」效應。此外，液化天然氣和布蘭特原油價格的週環比下跌，亦將緩解發電成本壓力，有助於抑制價格上漲。然而，日圓兌美元的持續走弱，將部分抵消國際燃料價格下跌帶來的利好，推高以日圓計價的進口燃料成本。市場需密切關注天氣變化對電力需求的影響，以及再生能源實際發電量是否符合預期。預計本週平均價格將維持在10.5至17.5日圓/千瓦時之間，市場整體偏向穩定，但仍需警惕突發事件帶來的短期價格衝擊。
Updated weekdays at JST 16:30 · Settlement price / Open interest
Simulated data — J-QUANTS API 未設定，目前顯示基於 JEPX 歷史均值的模擬先物曲線。 如需真實數據，請設定 JQUANTS_API_KEY 環境變數。
Settlement (¥/kWh)
| 合約月份 | Settlement (¥/kWh) | 成交量 | Open Interest | 狀態 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 8.65 ¥ | — | — | 成交 |
| 2026-06 | 11.02 ¥ | — | — | 成交 |
| 2026-07 | 13.32 ¥ | — | — | 成交 |
| 2026-08 | 12.97 ¥ | — | — | 成交 |
| 2026-09 | 13.03 ¥ | — | — | 成交 |
| 2026-10 | 12.00 ¥ | — | — | 成交 |
TOCOM near-month settlement vs JEPX spot monthly avg (12 months)
Avg Premium
+¥1.69
Max Premium
+¥6.24
Max Discount
¥-2.87
Premium / Discount months
1月 / 1月
Bar: TOCOM premium (+) / discount (−) vs JEPX spot. Lines: settlement price (purple) vs monthly avg spot (green).
Data on this page is auto-updated by scheduled jobs. Fuel prices: daily at JST 06:00. Policy updates: every Monday at JST 07:00. Market outlook: every Monday at JST 08:00. TOCOM futures: weekdays at JST 16:30.
Cookie Notice
We use cookies to provide essential service functionality, remember your preferences, and improve your experience through analytics. You can accept all cookies or allow only the essential ones required for the service to function. Privacy Policy